GOLD prices may have retreated from their record highs of a few
months ago – but now is not the time to invest, say local
dealers.
During the second week of March, the price of an ounce of gold
on the world market reached US$1030. It is now down to US$878,
and as of June 5 the local price stood at K551,000 a tical. But
demand is cool, said an expert from one gold shop.
The local price of gold is related to the world price, but also
reflects local demand and the local economic situation, as well
as the supply-demand cycle, says the owner of a gold shop in Maha
Bandoola Street.
“In the current economic situation, people tend to spend
their money on other things than gold, especially since schools
are now open. People only buy gold if they have money to spare,”
said one owner of a gold shop.
The gold price used to rise in the rainy season because of the
closure of gold mines in Upper Myanmar and the consequent reduction
of the supply to Yangon, said the owner.
“Buying gold has certain advantages – you can resell
it to the shop you bought it from, it holds its value in disasters
and is easily convertible into money. But because of the high
price of gold now, it's not a good time for buyers to invest,”
he said.
Gold traders in Yangon set the local price by checking the world
price three times a day, taking into a account local demand. “Although
the world price is high, if the demand is low in the local market,
the price doesn’t really correspond to the world price and
the current situation here forces the demand for gold downward,
as it has been for the past two years,” said the owner.
At the same time, the number of gold shops in Yangon has also
fallen in the last three years. No new ones have opened in the
last two years, say industry sources. “The price for a tical
is around K500,000 but in 1993, the price was just K20,000, so
opening a new gold shop these days represents a huge investment”
said the owner.
The increased amount of money required to open a gold shop,
with gold selling for around K55 million for 1 viss, has deterred
investment, the shop owner said.